Tropical Storm “Ian” will become a category 4 hurricane, affecting Cancun and the entire Yucatan Peninsula

The next three days tropical storm “Ian” will approach Mexico as a category 2 hurricane (National Weather Service)

During tonight and early Sunday morning, a low pressure channel in the southwest of the Gulf of Mexico and the southeast of the Mexican Republic, as well as divergence in height and the entry of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea, will generate intense punctual rains in Tabasco, Chiapas and Oaxaca; very strong punctual ones in Campeche and Veracruz; heavy punctual rains in Puebla, Tlaxcala, Morelos, State of Mexico and Mexico City; showers in Quintana Roo, Yucatán, Tlaxcala, Hidalgo, Tamaulipas and Nuevo León; in addition to isolated rains in Querétaro and San Luis Potosí.

A second channel of low pressure extended over the northwest, west and center of the national territory, in combination with the entry of moisture from the Pacific Ocean, will cause very strong punctual rains in Guerrero; punctual strong in Nayarit, Sinaloa and Baja California Sur; showers in Michoacán, Colima, Jalisco, Durango, Chihuahua and Baja California, in addition to isolated rains in Zacatecas.

During tonight, the approach of a cold front to the north of Mexico is expected, which will cause strong gusts of wind and possible dust storms in Sonora and Chihuahua, in addition to the potential for heavy rains accompanied by electric shocks in Sonora and showers in northern Chihuahua. An anticyclonic circulation in the middle levels of the atmosphere will maintain a low rainfall potential over entities of the Mesa del Norte.

For tomorrow, Sunday, a low pressure channel over the northwest, west and center of the national territory, in interaction with the humidity coming from the Pacific Ocean, will cause very strong punctual rains in Guerrero; punctual strong in Michoacán; showers in Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit Sonora and Baja California; in addition to isolated rains in Durango, Sinaloa and Baja California Sur.

(National Metereological Service)

A second low pressure channel will remain over the southwest of the Gulf of Mexico and the southeast of the territory and in combination with the monsoon trough that will extend very close to the coast of the Mexican South Pacific, coupled with the entry of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea, will produce intense punctual rains in areas of Chiapas, Oaxaca and Veracruz; very strong punctual ones in Tabasco, Puebla, San Luis Potosí, Tamaulipas and Nuevo León; strong punctual rains in Campeche, Morelos, Tlaxcala, Puebla, State of Mexico and Mexico City; showers in Quintana Roo, Yucatán, Querétaro and Coahuila, in addition to isolated rains in Guanajuato.

The first frontal system of the season will spread over the northern border region of the country and will cause isolated rains in Chihuahua, in addition to gusts of wind of 50 to 60 km/h with possible dust storms in the north of said entity. Likewise, the warm to hot afternoon environment will continue over most of the states of the Mexican Republic, with very hot maximum temperatures, above 40 ° C, over northwestern Sonora and northeastern Baja California.

Rain forecast for September 25, 2022:

Very strong rains with intense punctual rains (75 to 150 mm): Veracruz, Oaxaca and Chiapas.

Heavy rains with very strong points (50 to 75 mm): Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Puebla, Guerrero and Tabasco.

Intervals of showers with strong punctual rains (25 to 50 mm): Michoacán, State of Mexico, Mexico City, Morelos, Tlaxcala, Hidalgo and Campeche.

Intervals of showers (5 to 25 mm): Baja California, Sonora, Coahuila, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Querétaro, Yucatán and Quintana Roo.

Isolated rains (0.1 to 5 mm): Baja California Sur, Chihuahua, Durango, Sinaloa and Guanajuato.

Hurricane Ian Weather Report - NHC 09.24.22 5:00PM EDT
Hurricane Ian Weather Report – NHC 09.24.22 5:00PM EDT

The aforementioned rains may be accompanied by electric shocks, strong gusts of wind and possible hail, in addition, they could increase the levels of rivers and streams and cause landslides and floods.

Forecast of minimum temperatures for tomorrow, September 25, 2022:

Minimum temperatures from 0 to 5 °C: high areas of Chihuahua, Durango, State of Mexico, Tlaxcala and Puebla

Forecast of maximum temperatures for tomorrow, September 25, 2022:

Maximum temperatures from 40 to 45 °C: Baja California and Sonora.

Maximum temperatures from 35 to 40 °C: Baja California Sur, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Chiapas, San Luis Potosí, Veracruz, Tabasco, Campeche and Yucatán.

Maximum temperatures from 30 to 35 °C: Chihuahua, Coahuila, Durango and Quintana Roo.

Wind forecast for tomorrow September 25, 2022:

Wind with gusts of 50 to 60 km/h with possible dust storms: Baja California, Sonora, Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Zacatecas and Durango.

Forecast by regions:

Valley of Mexico: Partly cloudy to cloudy sky. Cool morning atmosphere, being cold and with fog banks at dawn in high areas, as well as cold temperatures, below 5°C in mountainous areas of the State of Mexico. Probability of heavy punctual rains in Mexico City and in the State of Mexico, which could be accompanied by electric shocks. Mild to hot environment in the afternoon. North and northwest wind from 10 to 20 km / h in the region, with gusts of up to 40 km / h in storm areas. In Mexico City, a minimum temperature of 13 to 15 °C and a maximum of 22 to 24 °C is forecast. For the capital of the State of Mexico, minimum temperature of 8 to 10 °C and maximum of 20 to 22 °C.

Baja California Peninsula: Partly cloudy sky in the morning and cloudy in the afternoon with showers and electric shocks in Baja California and isolated rains in Baja California Sur. Temperate atmosphere in the morning, and cool in mountain areas. Warm to hot in the afternoon, being very hot in northeast Baja California. Northwest wind from 15 to 30 km/h in the region, with gusts of 50 to 60 km/h on the western coast of Baja California.

North Pacific: Partly cloudy sky in the morning and cloudy in the afternoon with showers and electric shocks in Sonora and isolated rains in Sinaloa. In the morning, a temperate environment, being cool and with fog banks in mountain areas. Warm evening atmosphere, being hot in coastal areas and very hot in northwestern Sonora. West component wind from 10 to 20 km/h in the region, with gusts of 50 to 60 km/h in northeast Sonora.

Central Pacific: Partly cloudy sky in the morning and cloudy in the afternoon with punctual heavy rains in Michoacán, and rains with intervals of showers in Nayarit, Jalisco and Colima; all with electric shocks and possible hail fall. Said rains could generate an increase in the levels of rivers and streams and floods. Cool morning atmosphere, with fog banks in mountainous areas of Jalisco and Michoacán. Warm atmosphere in the afternoon, being hot in coastal areas. Variable direction wind from 10 to 25 km/h in the region, with gusts of 40 to 50 km/h on the coast of Jalisco.

South Pacific: Partly cloudy to cloudy skies, with occasional intense rains in Oaxaca and Chiapas and very strong occasional rains in Guerrero; all with electric shocks and possible hail fall. The rains could generate an increase in the levels of rivers and streams, landslides and floods. Temperate morning atmosphere, being cool and with fog banks in mountain areas. In the afternoon, warm atmosphere, being hot in coastal areas. Variable direction wind from 15 to 30 km/h in the region, with gusts of 40 to 50 km/h in Oaxaca (Isthmus).

Gulf of Mexico: Partly cloudy sky in the morning and cloudy in the afternoon, with intense punctual rains in Veracruz and very strong punctual rains in Tamaulipas and Tabasco; all with electric shocks. The rains could generate an increase in the levels of rivers and streams, landslides and floods. In the morning, temperate environment, being cool and with fog banks in high areas. Temperate to warm environment in the afternoon, being hot in the north of Tamaulipas and on the coasts of Veracruz and Tabasco. Northeast wind from 15 to 30 km / h in the region.

Yucatan Peninsula: Partly cloudy skies in the morning and cloudy in the afternoon, with punctual heavy rains in Campeche, and intervals of showers in Yucatan and Quintana Roo; all with electric shocks. Mild atmosphere in the morning and warm to hot in the afternoon. Northeast wind from 10 to 25 km/h in the region, with gusts of 30 to 40 km/h in areas of Campeche and Yucatan.

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The article is in Spanish

Tags: Tropical Storm Ian category hurricane affecting Cancun entire Yucatan Peninsula